My friends, if you have payed attention to the news lately you may off noticed that Pakistan is in a state of turmoil or as its dictator Musharraf likes too call it a "state of emergency".
He says he declared it because his army and paramilitaries were being routed in Wazirstan.
Though in actuality he took the opportunity to sack his supreme court who were due to deliver their verdict on the legality of his presidency and make himself dictator.
This triggered massive protests that were put down by the police.
All this of course went on when the Taliban were on the offensive and captured large swaths of territory in Swat which is not all that far away from the capital Islamabad.
Let me also remind you that Pakistan has dozens of nukes while Iran (hopefully) has none.
Also Al-Qaeda fights with the Taliban and one may be able to say that they have effectively merged...
So the nightmare Scenario emerges what do we do too stop the formation of a radical warlike state with nuclear weapons with clear links too terrorists groups that would use them against us?
Pick your poison.
1. Do we simply turn the tribal areas of Pakistan into glass (Hard counterinsurgency?) and remove the tribes and a large chunk of Jihadi's (including Osama himself) from the face of the Earth? Do we also deal with the accompanying international shit storm that would follow?
2. Or do we use the skills we have learned in Iraq and apply them there in an open ended counter-insurgency campaign in probably the most remote and hostile (for us) region of the planet for us and trying to divide a tribal society where there is little moral distinction between the Jihadist and the tribesmen?All this of course went on when the Taliban were on the offensive and captured large swaths of territory in Swat which is not all that far away from the capital Islamabad.
Let me also remind you that Pakistan has dozens of nukes while Iran (hopefully) has none.
Also Al-Qaeda fights with the Taliban and one may be able to say that they have effectively merged...
So the nightmare Scenario emerges what do we do too stop the formation of a radical warlike state with nuclear weapons with clear links too terrorists groups that would use them against us?
Pick your poison.
1. Do we simply turn the tribal areas of Pakistan into glass (Hard counterinsurgency?) and remove the tribes and a large chunk of Jihadi's (including Osama himself) from the face of the Earth? Do we also deal with the accompanying international shit storm that would follow?
3. Or do we simply sit back do nothing and watch as a civil war unfolds that if the radicals win could become the cause for regional or even worldwide nuclear conflagration.
So then my friends what do we do?
What do we do too prevent this nightmare from ever happening?
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